ABSTRACT
• A resilience assessment framework for the GLSN across two dimensions, including static resilience and dynamic resilience. • Identification of overlapping community structure and key nodes with the clique percolation method. • A network disintegration method to consider the impact of traffic flow on system resilience assessment. • An innovative, knock-on effect simulation model with tailored, local weighted flow redistribution rules for dynamic resilience assessment. As a critical infrastructure system of modern society, the global liner shipping network (GLSN) has become increasingly complex and thus vulnerable to disruptions. This study proposes a resilience assessment framework for the GLSN across two dimensions, including static resilience and dynamic resilience. First, by leveraging high-frequency vessel movement data, the GLSN is constructed. Then, with the clique percolation method (CPM), overlapping community structures and key nodes can be identified. The static resilience assessment is initially conducted using simulation techniques, with nodes attacked through pre-designed scenarios. Then, a network disintegration method is employed to consider the impact of traffic flow on system resilience assessment, which separates the weighted GLSN into different layers for evaluation. The results show that both overlapping community structure and traffic flow significantly impact the resilience evaluation of the GLSN. Finally, to assess the dynamic resilience of the GLSN, we propose an innovative, knock-on effect simulation model with tailored, locally weighted flow redistribution rules. It provides a method for predicting the impacts of potential global disruptions (e.g., the COVID-19 pandemic) and critical maritime infrastructure failures (e.g., the Suez Canal obstruction) on the shipping network, which are of great concern not only to academia but also to industry. [ FROM AUTHOR]
ABSTRACT
As a critical infrastructure system of modern society, the global liner shipping network (GLSN) has become increasingly complex and thus vulnerable to disruptions. This study proposes a resilience assessment framework for the GLSN across two dimensions, including static resilience and dynamic resilience. First, by leveraging high-frequency vessel movement data, the GLSN is constructed. Then, with the clique percolation method (CPM), overlapping community structures and key nodes can be identified. The static resilience assessment is initially conducted using simulation techniques, with nodes attacked through pre-designed scenarios. Then, a network disintegration method is employed to consider the impact of traffic flow on system resilience assessment, which separates the weighted GLSN into different layers for evaluation. The results show that both overlapping community structure and traffic flow significantly impact the resilience evaluation of the GLSN. Finally, to assess the dynamic resilience of the GLSN, we propose an innovative, knock-on effect simulation model with tailored, locally weighted flow redistribution rules. It provides a method for predicting the impacts of potential global disruptions (e.g., the COVID-19 pandemic) and critical maritime infrastructure failures (e.g., the Suez Canal obstruction) on the shipping network, which are of great concern not only to academia but also to industry.
ABSTRACT
Robust maritime transportation networks are essential to the development of world economy. But vulnerability of the global liner shipping network (GLSN) to unexpected interruptions has become apparent since the COVID-19 pandemic began, in that a single port interruption could be sufficient to trigger a cascading failure (i.e., port congestion propagation). To understand the vulnerability of the GLSN under such cascading failures, we propose a novel cascading model, which incorporates the realistic factor of liner shipping service routes’ behavior of port rotation adjustments under port failures. We apply the model to an empirical GLSN, showing that the GLSN under cascading failures is significantly more vulnerable than its static structure. Regarding two common adjustments of service routes’ port rotations (i.e., skipping failed ports and choosing alternative ports), we find that choosing alternative ports increases the GLSN vulnerability to cascading failures. Within the proposed model, we also introduce a metric termed port dynamic criticality to characterize the contribution of each port to the overall network robustness against cascading failures, finding it significantly and positively associated with port’s topological centrality in the initial GLSN. These findings provide managerial insights into preventing or mitigating port congestion propagation in the GLSN.
ABSTRACT
The maritime transport of containers between ports accounts for the bulk of global trade by weight and value. Transport impedance among ports through transit times and port infrastructures can, however, impact accessibility, trade performance, and the attractiveness of ports. Assessments of the transit routes between ports based on performance and attractiveness criteria can provide a topological liner shipping network that quantifies the performance profile of ports. Here, we constructed a directed global liner shipping network (GLSN) of the top six liner shipping companies between the ports of Africa, Asia, North/South America, Europe, and Oceania. Network linkages and community groupings were quantified through a container port accessibility evaluation model, which quantified the performance of the port using betweenness centrality, the transport impedance among ports with the transit time, and the performance of ports using the Port Liner Shipping Connectivity Index. The in-degree and out-degree of the GLSN conformed to the power-law distribution, respectively, and their R-square fitting accuracy was greater than 0.96. The community partition illustrated an obvious consistence with the actual trading flow. The accessibility evaluation result showed that the ports in Asia and Europe had a higher accessibility than those of other regions. Most of the top 30 ports with the highest accessibility are Asian (17) and European (10) ports. Singapore, Port Klang, and Rotterdam have the highest accessibility. Our research may be helpful for further studies such as species invasion and the planning of ports.
Subject(s)
Ships , Asia , Europe , Singapore , South AmericaABSTRACT
Seaports play an important role in the global shipping network. Shipping participants often attach great importance to the measurement of container port connectivity, as it reflects countries' access to world markets. As a result, various port connectivity index systems have been proposed by members of the shipping industry and scholars. In recent years, technological developments especially the advancement of high coverage and real-time Automatic Identification System (AIS) data, have provided a chance to improve the scope and frequency of the existing index systems. An improved system is expected to reflect the dynamic changes in a port's connectivity which may be induced by either local disruptions or shocks in the wider economy. This study builds a monthly container port connectivity index system by applying big data mining techniques, graph theory, and principal component analysis (PCA) to AIS data, taking both port factors and shipping network factors into consideration. AIS records from 2020 are used to calculate the connectivity score of 25 major container ports. We also compare our system with the connectivity index commonly used in the shipping industry, the Liner Shipping Connectivity Index (LSCI). Our results show that the measurement of connectivity can be improved over indices that depend primarily on indicators of traffic volume. Ports like Antwerp and Tanjung Pelepas rank high in the proposed system due to their sound performance on their accessibility and strategic position in the local region instead of their traffic volume. The monthly index system is also proven to reflect timely changes in the shipping industry through its accurate portrayal of changes in port connectivity during the COVID-19 outbreak. © 2022 Elsevier Ltd
ABSTRACT
As an essential sub-network of the global liner shipping network, China's international liner shipping network was the earliest to be affected by the COVID-19 and also had a significant impact on the global shipping network. This paper uses Automatic Identification System (AIS) data to analyze the impact of COVID-19 on the typical route networks and major ports of China's international liner shipping. On this basis, the changes in network efficiency and connectivity under the failure of important nodes is simulated. The research finds that, during the epidemic period, the scale of China's international liner shipping network increased, with more routes gathering at fewer hub ports. Still, the overall connectivity and connection strength declined. Meanwhile, the epidemic caused fluctuations in container volume and the mismatch of ship cargo capacity supply, in which China-U.S. routes was the most prominent. From the view of node, the competitiveness of China's mainland ports was significantly promoted during the epidemic. In addition, ports such as Busan, Singapore, and Hong Kong substantially impacted China's international liner shipping network. The current study might be helpful for the industry management departments and related companies to prepare contingency plans, thus enhancing the resilience of the logistics chain and ensuring the stability of the global supply chain.
ABSTRACT
Catastrophic incidents can significantly disrupt supply chains, but most of these disruptions remain localized. It was not until the onset of COVID-19 that a disruption in our lifetimes achieved a global magnitude. In order to contain the pandemic, governments around the world resorted to closing borders, shutting down manufacturing plants, and imposing lockdowns, which resulted in disrupted production capabilities and weakened consumer spending. The effects of these measures have been clearly visible in global transport networks, where disruptions ripple through the system and serve as a precursor to the disruptions in the broader economy. In this study, we use liner shipping schedule cancellations, a form of serious transport network disruption, as distress signals of the pandemic's impact on global supply chains. Our study applies a three-stage approach and provides insights into operator behaviors when under distress. We show that the pandemic challenged service network integrity and that network disruptions first clustered in Asia before rippling along main trade routes. Agile liner shipping operations, aided by planned service suspensions, prevented the collapse of the global maritime transport networks and indicated the maritime industry's ability to withstand even major catastrophic incidents.